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Currency derivatives and exchange rate forecastability

Liu, Shinhua - ;

By incorporating new information generated by currency derivatives trading, underlying exchange rates should be less forecastable than previously and the underlying currency markets should, therefore, be more efficient. This hypothesis was tested, for the first time, for the period 1982 through 1997 on a clean sample of three major types of currency derivatives launched in two prominent markets. Various statistical tests indicate that following the introduction of the derivative contracts, the underlying exchange rates became more random and the currencies involved tended thus to be priced more efficiently, which supports the hypothesis.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
FAJ6304PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana1
PenerbitVirginia: CFA Institute 2007
EdisiVol. 63, No. 4, Jul. - Aug., 2007
SubjekMarket efficiency
currency derivatives
exchange rate forecastability
Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME)
Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX)
Bretton Woods System
intermarket arbitrage
emerging market currencies
ISBN/ISSN0015198X
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi Fisik7 p.
Info Detail SpesifikFinancial Analysts Journal
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
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