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a Multivariate time-series prediction model for cash-flow data

Lorek, Kenneth S. - ; Willinger, G. Lee - ;

This paper provides evidence on the time-series properties and predictive ability of cash-flow data. It employs a sample of firms on which the accuracy of one-step-ahead cash-flow predictions is assessed during the 1989-1991 holdout period. We develop a new multivariate, time-series prediction model that employs past values of earnings, short-term accruals and cash-flows as independent variables in a time-series regression. Our predictive results indicate that this model clearly outperforms firm-specific and common-structure ARIMA models as well as a multivariate, cross-sectional regression model popularized in the literature. These findings are robust across alternative cash-flow metrics (e.g., levels, per-share, and deflated by total assets) and are consistent with the viewpoint espoused by the FASB that cash-flow prediction is enhanced by consideration of earnings and accrual accounting data.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
AR7101PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana1
PenerbitUSA: American Accounting Association 1996
EdisiVol. 71, No. 1, Jan., 1996
SubjekAccrual accounting
Arima models
cash-flow prediction
multivariate regression
FASB Standards
ISBN/ISSN00014826
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi Fisik22 p.
Info Detail SpesifikThe Accounting Review
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
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  • A Multivariate Time-Series Prediction Model for Cash-Flow Data
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