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Forest through the Trees: Building Cross-Sections of Stock Returns

Svetlana Bryzgalova - ; MARKUS PELGER - ; JASON ZHU - ;

We build cross-sections of asset returns for a given set of characteristics, that is, managed portfolios serving as test assets, as well as building blocks for tradable risk factors. We use decision trees to endogenously group similar stocks together by selecting optimal portfolio splits to span the stochastic discount factor, projected on individual stocks. Our portfolios are interpretable and well diversified, reflecting many characteristics and their interactions. Compared to combinations of dozens (even hundreds) of single/double sorts, as well as machine-learning prediction-based portfolios, our cross-sections are low-dimensional yet have up to three times higher out-of-sample Sharpe ratios and alphas.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
PSB lt.2 - Karya Akhir (Majalah)1
PenerbitUnited States: American Finance Association 2025
EdisiVol. 80 Issue 5, Oct 2025
SubjekStock return
Asset pricing
Decision Trees
ISBN/ISSN1540-6261
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi Fisik60 p.
Info Detail SpesifikThe Journal of Finance
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
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  • Forest through the Trees: Building Cross-Sections of Stock Returns

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