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Optimum Currency Pegs for Latin America

Connolly, Michael B. - ;

The analysis begins by establishing a clear empirical link: nations that pegged their currency to the U.S. dollar from 1950 to 1979 experienced significantly lower and more stable inflation and monetary growth rates compared to non-peggers. The author argues that a dollar peg acts as a credible commitment mechanism, effectively importing U.S. monetary discipline and restraining domestic monetary policy. A theoretical model is developed to evaluate alternative pegs—including single currencies like the Deutsche Mark and composite baskets like the SDR—based on their ability to minimize the level and variance of imported inflation. The empirical results for the 1973-79 period demonstrate that while other pegs (like a trade-weighted basket) could offer marginally better stability, the U.S. dollar peg provides a robust combination of low inflation variance and historical credibility.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
JMCB1501PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana1
PenerbitOhio: Ohio State University Press 1983
EdisiVol. 15, No. 1, Feb., 1983
SubjekExchange rate regime
Imported inflation
Latin America
Optimum Currency Peg
Monetary Discipline
Monetary Policy Credibility
ISBN/ISSN00222879
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi Fisik-
Info Detail SpesifikJournal of Money, Credit and Banking
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
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