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Scalable Target Marketing: Distributed Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Bayesian Hierarchical Models

Rossi, Peter E. - ; Bumbaca, Federico (Rico) , - ; Misra, Sanjog - ;

Many problems in marketing and economics require firms to make targeted consumer-specific decisions, but current estimation methods are not designed to scale to the size of modern data sets. In this article, the authors propose a new algorithm to close that gap. They develop a distributed Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating Bayesian hierarchical models when the number of consumers is very large and the objects of interest are the consumer-level parameters.

The two-stage and embarrassingly parallel algorithm is asymptotically unbiased in the number of consumers, retains the flexibility of a standard MCMC algorithm, and is easy to implement. The authors show that the distributed MCMC algorithm is faster and more efficient than a single-machine algorithm by at least an order of magnitude. They illustrate the approach with simulations with up to 100 million consumers, and with data on 1,088,310 donors to a charitable organization. The algorithm enables an increase of between $1.6 million and $4.6 million in additional donations when applied to a large modern-size data set compared with a typical-size data set.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
JM4508PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana1
PenerbitChicago: American Marketing Association 2008
EdisiVol. 57, No. 6 (DECEMBER 2020), pp. 999-1018
Subjekstatistical modeling
Personalized Marketing
Targeting Strategies
Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Scalable Target Marketing
ISBN/ISSN0022-2437
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi Fisik20 p.
Info Detail SpesifikJournal of Marketing
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
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  • Scalable Target Marketing: Distributed Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Bayesian Hierarchical Models

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