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The impact of capital reversal and the threshold of current account deficit on rupiah

Nugroho, M. Noor - ;

This paper studies the effects of foreign capital flows toward the exchange rate of rupiah both in total and across types of capital investment. This paper also analyzes the thresholds of current account deficit which significantly affect the rate of Rupiah. The estimation shows the capital outflow affect the rate of Rupiah to depreciate and is larger than the appreciation pressure of capital inflow (except when invested in Certificate of Bank Indonesia, SBI). Furthermore, the rate of Rupiah is more sensitive on government bond (SUN) than stock or SBI. The yield of this government bond largely affects the probability of the capital reversal. Related to the current account, the estimation shows that after exceeds the threshold of USD980 million monthly deficit orabout 2% of GDP, the exchange rate will depreciateby 12.7% (m-o-m) with the lag effect of 4 months..


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
PSB lt.2 - Karya Akhir1
Penerbit: Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking 2014
Edisi-
SubjekExchange rate
Capital flows
Current account deficit
Threshold
ISBN/ISSN-
Klasifikasi-
Deskripsi Fisik-
Info Detail Spesifik-
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
Lampiran BerkasTidak Ada Data

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