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A Comparison of criteria to design efficient choice experiments

Kessels, Roselinde - ; Goos, Peter - ; Vandebroek, Martina - ;

The purpose of this article is to find designs that allow for precise predictions of consumers' choices rather than to search for designs that produce only an efficient estimation of the underlying statistical model. To this end, the authors employ two prediction-based criteria, the G- and V-optimality criteria, and compared them with the estimation-based D- and A-optimality criteria traditionally used in the marketing literature. The authors implement these criteria in a Bayesian manner to account for the fact that the parameters of the statistical model, the multinomial logit model, are unknown. As they expected, the results indicate that the Bayesian V-optimal designs and, to a lesser extent, the Bayesian G-optimal designs are best suited for predictive purposes. The D-optimal designs rank third in this aspect, but the differences in predictive ability compared with the V- and G-optimal designs are rather small. The results also show that the three-alternative optimal designs lead to better predictions than the two-alternative designs and to more accurate parameter estimates.Printed Journal


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana1
Penerbit: American Marketing Association
Edisi-
SubjekMarket research
Product Choice
studies
Bayesian analysis
Criteria
Parameter optimization
ISBN/ISSN222437
Klasifikasi-
Deskripsi Fisik-
Info Detail Spesifik-
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
Lampiran BerkasTidak Ada Data

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