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Model makroekonomi regional DKI Jakarta : Dampak penurunan penerimaan DAU terhadap perekonomian DKI Jakarta
This paper builds a regional macroeconomic model of DKI Jakarta and at tempts to analyze the impacts of declining DAU revenues on the overall DKI Jakarta economy. The model uses microeconomic foundations, consists of four blocks, and is made up by 48 behavioral equationsand 23 identities. The model adapts Doubinis' Chicago Metropolitan Area econometric model with some modifications. Two Stage Least Squares Methods are employed to estimate both parameters and prediction power of the model. There are two scenarios designed for forecasting, first, the scenarios of constant DAU of Rp. 773,02 billion, and second, the scenario of 20% DAU decline. Comparing the constant and the declining DAU scenarios, the DAU decline does effect the growth of manufacturing sector and its number of employment, government investment, expenditures, and revenues, and the overall regional economy. However, this decline does not effect the activities in the non-manufacture sector and its employment, local government taxes nd charges, and private consumptions and investments. Even thought it affects the regional economy but the negative impact on growth is still less than 20%. .Baca di tempat
Ketersediaan
| Call Number | Location | Available |
|---|---|---|
| EKI-51-4-2003 | PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana | 1 |
| Penerbit | : Lembaga Penyelidikan Ekonomi dan Masyarakat FEUI |
|---|---|
| Edisi | - |
| Subjek | DKI Jakarta Macroeconomic models Regional General allocation fund |
| ISBN/ISSN | 0126155X |
| Klasifikasi | - |
| Deskripsi Fisik | - |
| Info Detail Spesifik | - |
| Other Version/Related | Tidak tersedia versi lain |
| Lampiran Berkas | Tidak Ada Data |