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Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?

We construct a measure of global liquidity using the growth rates of broad money for the G7 economies. Global liquidity produces forecasts of U.S. inflation that are significantly more accurate than the forecasts based on U.S. money growth, Phillips curve, and autoregressive and moving average models. The marginal predictive power of global liquidity is strong at 3-year horizons. Results are robust to alternative measures of inflation.Printed journal

Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana1
Penerbit The Ohio State University.,
Edisi -
Subjek Liquidity
Inflation
Economic models
Economic forecasts
Phillips Curve
studies
Industrialized nations
ISBN/ISSN 222879
Klasifikasi -
Deskripsi Fisik -
Info Detail Spesifik -
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