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Has the Economy become more predictable? changes in greenbook forecast accuracy

Several researchers have recently documented large reductions in economic volatility. But a more important question may be whether the economy has become more predictable. Using forecasts from the Federal Reserve Greenbooks, I find that inflation and output have become more predictable, though the results for output are somewhat mixed. The reductions in unpredictability (if any) are significantly smaller than reductions in volatility. Associated with this, the predictable component of fluctuations in output and inflation has virtually disappeared..Printed journal

Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana1
Penerbit The Ohio State University.,
Edisi -
Subjek Inflation
Economic forecasting
Volatility
Output
studies
ISBN/ISSN 222879
Klasifikasi -
Deskripsi Fisik -
Info Detail Spesifik -
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