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Procyclical Leverage and Value-at-Risk

Shin, Hyun Song - ; Adrian, Tobias - ;

The availability of credit varies over the business cycle through shifts in the leverage of financial intermediaries. Empirically, we find that intermediary leverage is negatively aligned with the banks' Value-at-Risk (VaR). Motivated by the evidence, we explore a contracting model that captures the observed features. Under general conditions on the outcome distribution given by extreme value theory (EVT), intermediaries maintain a constant probability of default to shifts in the outcome distribution, implying substantial deleveraging during downturns. For some parameter values, we can solve the model explicitly, thereby endogenizing the VaR threshold probability from the contracting problem.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
RFS2702PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana1
PenerbitOxford: Oxford University Press 2014
EdisiVol. 27 No. 2, Feb 2014
SubjekFinance
ISBN/ISSN1465-7368
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi Fisik661 p.
Info Detail SpesifikThe Review of Financial Studies
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
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  • Procyclical Leverage and Value-at-Risk

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