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Bond Supply and Excess Bond Returns
We examine empirically how the supply and maturity structure of government debt affect bond yields and expected returns. We organize our investigation around a term-structure model in which risk-averse arbitrageurs absorb shocks to the demand and supply for bonds of different maturities. These shocks affect the term structure because they alter the price of duration risk. Consistent with the model, we find that the maturity-weighted-debt-to-GDP ratio is positively related to bond yields and future returns, controlling for the short rate. Moreover, these effects are stronger for longer-maturity bonds and following periods when arbitrageurs have lost money.
Ketersediaan
| Call Number | Location | Available |
|---|---|---|
| TRFS2703 | PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana | 1 |
| Penerbit | Oxford Oxford University Press., 2014 |
|---|---|
| Edisi | Vol. 27 No. 3, Mar 2014 |
| Subjek | Debt Asset pricing Investment decisions Debt management Trading volume Portfolio Choice Bond interest rates Determination of interest rates Term structure of interest rates |
| ISBN/ISSN | 1465-7368 |
| Klasifikasi | NONE |
| Deskripsi Fisik | 956 p. |
| Info Detail Spesifik | The Review of Financial Studies |
| Other Version/Related | Tidak tersedia versi lain |
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