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International stock return predictability : what is the role of the United States

Rapach, David E. - ; Strauss, Jack K. - ; Zhou, Guofu - ;

We investigate lead-lag relationships among monthly country stock returns and identify a leading role for the United States: lagged U.S. returns significantly predict returns in numerous non-U.S. industrialized countries, while lagged non-U.S. returns display limited predictive ability with respect to U.S. returns. We estimate a news-diffusion model, and the results indicate that return shocks arising in the United States are only fully reflected in equity prices outside of the United States with a lag, consistent with a gradual information diffusion explanation of the predictive power of lagged U.S. returns..Printed Journal, baca ditempat


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
JOF6804PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana1
Penerbit: Wiley Periodicals
Edisi-
Subjek-
ISBN/ISSN221082
Klasifikasi-
Deskripsi Fisik-
Info Detail Spesifik-
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
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