Text
Predictable Dynamics in Higher Order Risk-Neutral Moments: Evidence from the S&P 500 Options
We investigate whether there are predictable patterns in the dynamics of higher order risk-neutral moments extracted from the market prices of S&P 500 index options. To this end, we conduct a horse race among alternative forecasting models within an out-of-sample context over various forecasting horizons. We consider both a statistical and an economic setting. We find that higher risk-neutral moments can be statistically forecasted. However, only the one-day-ahead skewness forecasts can be economically exploited. This economic significance vanishes once we incorporate transaction costs. The results have implications for the dynamics of implied volatility surfaces..Printed Journal
Ketersediaan
| Call Number | Location | Available |
|---|---|---|
| JFQA4803 | PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana | 1 |
| Penerbit | Cambridge: Cambridge University Press |
|---|---|
| Edisi | - |
| Subjek | Risk Market efficiency Implied volatility surface Model confidence set Option strategies neutral skewness neutral kurtosis |
| ISBN/ISSN | - |
| Klasifikasi | - |
| Deskripsi Fisik | - |
| Info Detail Spesifik | - |
| Other Version/Related | Tidak tersedia versi lain |
| Lampiran Berkas | Tidak Ada Data |