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Integrating Factor Models

Doron Avramov - ; Si Cheng - ; Lior Metzker - ; Stefan Voigt - ;

This paper develops a comprehensive framework to address uncertainty about the correct factor model. Asset pricing inferences draw on a composite model that integrates over competing factor models weighted by posterior probabilities. Evidence shows that unconditional models record near-zero probabilities, while postearnings announcement drift, quality-minus-junk, and intermediary capital are potent factors in conditional asset pricing. Out-of-sample, the integrated model performs well, tilting away from subsequently underperforming factors. Model uncertainty makes equities appear considerably riskier, while model disagreement about expected returns spikes during crash episodes. Disagreement spans all return components involving mispricing, factor loadings, and risk premia.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana (Koleksi Majalah)1
PenerbitUSA: The American Finance Association 2023
EdisiVolume 78, Issue 3, June 2023, Pages 1593-1646
SubjekProbability
Asset pricing
Correct Factor Model
ISBN/ISSN1540-6261
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi FisikFirst Published : 22 March 2023
Info Detail SpesifikThe Journal of Finance
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
Lampiran Berkas
  • https://remote-lib.ui.ac.id:2075/10.1111/jofi.13226

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