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Predictably Unequal? The Effects of Machine Learning on Credit Markets

Tarun Ramadorai - ; Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham - ; Andreas Fuster - ; Ansgar Walther - ;

Innovations in statistical technology in functions including credit-screening have raised concerns about distributional impacts across categories such as race. Theoretically, distributional effects of better statistical technology can come from greater flexibility to uncover structural relationships or from triangulation of otherwise excluded characteristics. Using data on U.S. mortgages, we predict default using traditional and machine learning models. We find that Black and Hispanic borrowers are disproportionately less likely to gain from the introduction of machine learning. In a simple equilibrium credit market model, machine learning increases disparity in rates between and within groups, with these changes attributable primarily to greater flexibility.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
PSB lt.dasar - Pascasarjana (Koleksi Majalah)1
PenerbitUSA: The American Finance Association 2022
EdisiVolume 77, Issue 1, February 2022, Pages 5-47
SubjekStatistical methods
predictability
Credit Markets
ISBN/ISSN1540-6261
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi FisikFirst published : 28 October 2021
Info Detail SpesifikThe Journal of Finance
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
Lampiran Berkas
  • https://remote-lib.ui.ac.id:2075/10.1111/jofi.13090

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