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Modeling Conditional Factor Risk Premia Implied by Index Option Returns

Mathieu Fournier - ; Kris Jacobs - ; Piotr Orlowski - ;

We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically, and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. We estimate the model using index options to characterize the conditional risk premia for factors of interest, such as the market return, market variance, tail and intermediary risk factors, higher moments, and the VIX term structure slope. Together, market return and variance explain more than 90% of option return variation. Unconditionally, the magnitude of the variance risk premium is plausible. It displays pronounced time variation, spikes during crises, and always has the expected sign.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
PSB lt.2 - Karya Akhir (Koleksi Majalah)1
PenerbitUSA: The American Finance Association 2024
EdisiVolume 79, Issue 3, June 2024, Pages 2289-2338
SubjekStock options
Market return
Index Option Return
Payoffs
Factor Risk Premia
ISBN/ISSN1540-6261
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi Fisikill, chart, table, grafik, 678 hal, 20 cm
Info Detail SpesifikThe Journal of Finance
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
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  • Modeling Conditional Factor Risk Premia Implied by Index Option Returns

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