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Consumer Sentiment and Indonesia's Stock Returns

Bannigidadmath, Deepa - ;

This paper examines whether consumer sentiment predicts the excess returns of the aggregate market and nine industries from the Indonesia equity market. We discover evidence of predictability for three industries; however, the magnitude of predictability are heterogeneous. Some sectors are predictable during expansions, whereas others are only predictable during recessions. There is no evidence of the reversal of the impact of consumer sentiment on stock returns. We conduct several robustness tests that include (i) estimating a predictive regression model with a feasible quasi-generalized least square–based estimator and (ii) accounting for structural breaks. These tests confirm the baseline results.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
PSB lt.2 - Karya Akhir (Majalah)1
PenerbitJakarta: Bank Indonesia 2020
Edisi13th BMEB Call for Papers Special Issue, Volume 23
SubjekIndonesia
Stock Returns
Consumer sentiment
ISBN/ISSN2460-9196
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi Fisik152 p.
Info Detail SpesifikBulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
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  • Consumer Sentiment and Indonesia's Stock Returns

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