Text
Predictors of Exchange Rate Returns: Evidence from Indonesia
Using historical time-series data, we investigate Indonesia’s exchange rate return predictability. We employ nine predictors, namely stock price, gold price, oil price, commodity price, inflation, balance of payment, total exports, the US T-bill rate, and the US federal fund rate. With historical data, we fail to discover any evidence that these factors predict Indonesia’s exchange rate returns. However, we find that oil price, commodity price, inflation, and the US T-bill rate can significantly predict Indonesia’s exchange rate returns during the Asian financial crisis. Our findings key implication is that it is the external factors that dominate the evolution of Indonesia’s exchange rate, and inflation rate is the only domestic factor for policy makers to control
Ketersediaan
| Call Number | Location | Available |
|---|---|---|
| PSB lt.2 - Karya Akhir (Majalah) | 1 |
| Penerbit | Jakarta: Bank Indonesia 2020 |
|---|---|
| Edisi | Volume 23, Number 2, 2020 |
| Subjek | Indonesia Exchange rate Predictors |
| ISBN/ISSN | 2460-9196 |
| Klasifikasi | NONE |
| Deskripsi Fisik | 296 p. |
| Info Detail Spesifik | Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking |
| Other Version/Related | Tidak tersedia versi lain |
| Lampiran Berkas |