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Real Output and Oil Price Uncertainty in an Oil-Producing Country

Lyke, Bernard Njindan - ;

We assess the effects of oil price uncertainty on Nigeria’s real output from the first quarter of 1980 to the first quarter of 2019. We achieve this objective by decomposing oil price uncertainty into positive and negative uncertainties. We then quantify the responses of output to these uncertainties. Using the conditional variance of real returns in composite refiners’ acquisition cost of crude oil as our measure of oil price uncertainty, we find that positive uncertainty leads to a decline in output, whereas negative uncertainty leads to a rise in output. The response of output to these uncertainties is asymmetric.


Ketersediaan

Call NumberLocationAvailable
PSB lt.2 - Karya Akhir (Majalah)1
PenerbitJakarta: Bank Indonesia 2019
EdisiVolume 22, Number 2, 2019
SubjekOil price uncertainty
Real output
Oil-Producing Country
ISBN/ISSN2460-9196
KlasifikasiNONE
Deskripsi Fisik238
Info Detail SpesifikBulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking
Other Version/RelatedTidak tersedia versi lain
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  • Real Output and Oil Price Uncertainty in an Oil-Producing Country

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