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Makalah ini menganalisis persaingan antara bank kecil dan bank besar dalam menentukan net interest margin (NIM) di pasar oligopoli. Penelitian ini menerapkan kerangka Game Theory yaitu Dynamic Games of Incomplete Information untuk mengembangkan model Ho dan Saunders. Kami menggunakan data dari industri perbankan Indonesia selama sepuluh tahun yang diklasifikasikan ke dalam tiga kelompok sampel;…
Perdebatan hubungan kebijakan moneter dan fiskal terkait dengan dampak defisit anggaran yang dapat mengganggu inflasi yang merupakan tujuan akhir kebijakan moneter. Sebaliknya, bagi pembuat kebijakan fiskal inflasi yang terlalu ketat dapat berdampak buruk terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi dan kesempatan kerja yang merupakan tujuan utama dari kebijakan fiskal. Tidak terdapatnya koordinasi diantara ke…
A failed bank can spark a deep financial crisis throughout the whole country when ironically it maysimply have been triggered by a banking crime perpetrated by an insider, i.e. the banker. Althoughbanking crimes may pose a significant threat to financial sector stability, the potential risk of internalfraud has, hitherto, not been taken into account in banking supervision processes. This paper …
In a sticky price model with investment spending, recent research shows that inflation-forecast targeting interest rate policy makes determinacy of equilibrium essentially impossible. We examine a necessary and sufficient condition for determinacy under interest rate policy that responds to a weighted average of an inflation forecast and current inflation. This condition demonstrates that the a…
This article examines competition among Wal-Mart, Kmart, and Target using two distinct but related approaches. The authors first develop and estimate a discrete game in which each chain's store presence and format decisions in local markets depend on the decisions of its competitors and market characteristics. This analysis is extended to evaluate the determinants of store revenues for each cha…
Strategic factor market theory suggests that, excluding luck, superior expectations are necessary for firms to appropriate gains from valuable resources. I argue that this is only true in the absence of heterogeneous resource complementarity. Extending factor market theory, I show that firms can profit when they exhibit superior complementarity to target resources, and I determine the component…
Understanding how competitors will respond to your actions should be a critical component of decision making. Few companies, however, incorporate such insights into their strategic decisions, in large part because most methods for obtaining them are complex and unreliable. The authors have drawn on their research and work with companies to develop an approach for predicting rivals' behavior tha…
We model the two-firm alliance as an iterated prisoners' dilemma game with an exit option and test several theoretical predictions in experimental studies regarding the effect of reputation information. Following the literature, we hypothesize that reputation benefits cooperation; however, our experimental results instead show that reputation decreases cooperation. A contingency explains this r…
Our life consists of games, situations in which we compete for the better and even for the best. The science of strategic thinking is called game theory. The applications of game theory have some merits although we should recognize its limitations, This paper explores the virtues of applying game theory in various strategic settings..Printed journal
This paper develops a model where the value of the monetary policy instrument is selected by a heterogenous committee engaged in a dynamic voting game. Committee members differ in their institutional power, and in certain states of nature, they also differ in their preferred instrument value. Preference heterogeneity and concern for the future interact to generate decisions that are dynamically…
Feedback effects from asset prices to firm cash flows have been empirically documented. This finding raises a question for asset pricing: How are asset prices determined if price affects fundamental value, which in turn affects price? In this environment, by buying assets that others are buying, investors ensure high future cash flows for the firm and subsequent high returns for themselves. Hen…
The literature suggests that mangers are overly competitive and overemphasize competitors' payoffs in making decisions. The authors demonstrate how two seemingly innocuous but common decision inputs that mid- and entry-level managers use - (1) advice from colleagues and (2) training - could propagate this bias. The authors conduct an experiment in which one generation of participants plays a no…
Perdebatana hubungan kebijakan moneter dan fiskal terkait dengan dampak defisit anggaran yang dapt mengganggu inflasi yang merupakan tujuan akhir kebijakn moneter..BACA DITEMPAT
Traditionally, markets have been viewed as simply the confluence of supply and demand. But to function properly, they must be able to attract a sufficient number of buyers and sellers, induce participants to make their preferences clear, and overcome congestion by providing both enough time to make choices and a speedy means of registering them. Solutions to these challenges are the province of…
A consumer contest is a sales promotion technique that requires participants to apply certain skills as they compete for prizes or awards. This article is the first to employ a game-theoretical approach to investigate consumer contest design issues, including prize structure, segmentation, and handicapping. First, the authors find that both skill distribution and the number of contestants play …
At Internet auction sites, such as eBay, nearly identical goods are often sold in a sequence of auctions, separated by small amounts of time. Upcoming auctions are announced several days in advance, so buyers can benefit from forward-looking strategies that take this information into account. This article develops a model of such bidding, provides empirical evidence of the model's relevance to …
Whereas prices serve to allocate many resources in market economies, there remain vast reservoirs of unpriced resources to be managed. Business management and strategy concerns the creation, evaluation, manipulation, administration, and deployment of unpriced specialized scarce resource combinations. This paper applies the formalism of cooperative game theory to these concerns. In cooperative g…
In deregulated industries former monopolies often adopt asymmetric behaviors: these firms impede the entry of foreign competitors in their home market, especially using defensive political strategies, and, at the same time, aggressively develop international strategies in foreign markets. To account for this behavior, I develop a game theoretic model involving three players: the former monopoly…
We present and solve a new, more accurate model of behavior within alliance activity. The model is essentially an iterated prisoners' dilemma with an exit option in each stage of the alliance. The proposed solution results in each partner receiving its opportunity cost as its expected average pay-off in the alliance. Managerial implications include: identification of where to focus efforts to i…