This paper studies the implications of opacity in financial markets for investor behavior, asset prices, and welfare. Transparent funds (e.g. mutual funds) and opaque funds (e.g. hedge funds) trade transparent assets (e.g. plain-vanilla products) and opaque assets (e.g. structured products). Investors can observe neither opaque funds' portfolios nor opaque assets' payoffs. Consistent with empir…
We examine the role of high-frequency traders (HFTs) in price discovery and price efficiency. Overall HFTs facilitate price efficiency by trading in the direction of permanent price changes and in the opposite direction of transitory pricing errors, both on average and on the highest volatility days. This is done through their liquidity demanding orders. In contrast, HFTs' liquidity supplying o…
A competitive stock market is embedded into a neoclassical growth economy to analyze the interplay between the acquisition of information about firms, its partial revelation through stock prices, capital allocation, and income. The stock market allows investors to share their costly private signals in a cost-effective incentive-compatible way. It contributes to economic growth by raising total …
We propose a new measure of time-varying tail risk that is directly estimable from the cross-section of returns. We exploit firm-level price crashes every month to identify common fluctuations in tail risk among individual stocks. Our tail measure is significantly correlated with tail risk measures extracted from S&P 500 index options and negatively predicts real economic activity. We show that…
This paper examines the impact of real estate prices on firm capital structure decisions. For a typical U.S. listed company, a one-standard-deviation increase in predicted value of firm pledgeable collateral translates into a 3 percentage points increase in firm leverage ratio. The identification strategy employs a triple interaction of MSA-level land supply elasticity, real estate prices, and …
A comprehensive and practical, step-by-step guide to pricing analysis and strategy development. The Strategy and Tactics of Pricing shows readers how to manage markets strategicallyrather than simply calculate pricing based on product and profitin order to improve their competitiveness and the profitability of their offers. The fifth edition contains a new chapter on price implementat…
Includes bibliographies and index
Includes bibliographies and index
Only a few years ago, most software companies sold seat licenses for their products, charging customers on the basis of head count. But today, software is typically provided using cloud-based software-as-a-service (SaaS) models that charge customers fees for consumption. Technology companies have spent billions on the innovation necessary to achieve this product shift. Now, they need to transfo…
We assess the effects of oil price uncertainty on Nigeria’s real output from the first quarter of 1980 to the first quarter of 2019. We achieve this objective by decomposing oil price uncertainty into positive and negative uncertainties. We then quantify the responses of output to these uncertainties. Using the conditional variance of real returns in composite refiners’ acquisition cost of …
Hong Kong’s housing market witnessed a dramatic housing price appreciation in recent years, with the price index for private domestic housing units being three times higher than ten years ago. This trend is supported by both internal and external factors, as illustrated in this paper. By developing a theoretical model and an empirical analysis on the key variables influencing housing prices u…
In this study, we use a commodity augmented Phillips curve to investigate the impact of global commodity prices on domestic inflation in Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China, and South Africa. Oil and energy prices cause inflationary pressures in all countries, except Russia, where they cause deflationary pressures. In India and Indonesia, global food prices are highly significant and positi…
This paper empirically examines the impact of the price of crude oil petrol and palm oil on Indonesia’s output. Using quarterly data from 2000Q1 to 2019Q2 and both linear and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag approaches to cointegration, we find: 1) a significant non-linear effect of oil prices on the country’s output; 2) a decline in prices of oil can have a greater impact on the c…
This study examines the predictability of Indonesia’s aggregate demand using palm oil price. We conduct both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting evaluations. These evaluations are based on time-series quarterly and monthly data frequencies and cover three different forecasting horizons. Overall, we find that palm oil price predicts real GDP, consumption expenditure, total investment, net …
Includes index and tables
Penelitian ini menyelidiki dampak Return komoditas energi - khususnya Crude Oil, Coal, dan Natural Gas - terhadap Return indeks S&P Southeast Asia 40 sebelum dan sesudah COVID-19. Penelitian ini mencakup periode sebelum COVID-19 (2016–2019) dan periode selama dan setelah COVID-19 (2020–2023), dengan menggunakan model Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH (1,1)). P…
No one has more authority to call the shots the way they really are than award-winning economist Paul Krugman, whose provocative New York Times columns are keenly followed by millions. One of the world's most respected economists, Krugman has been named America's most important columnist by the Washington Monthly and columnist of the year by Editor and Publisher magazine. A major bestseller,…
Includes bibliographies, index and tables
An ideal introduction for those starting out as practitioners of mathematical finance, this book provides a clear understanding of the intuition behind derivatives pricing, how models are implemented, and how they are used and adapted in practice. Strengths and weaknesses of different models, e.g. Black–Scholes, stochastic volatility, jump-diffusion and variance gamma, are examined. Both the …
We analyze how institutional investors entering commodity futures markets, referred to as the financialization of commodities, affect commodity prices. Institutional investors care about their performance relative to a commodity index. We find that all commodity futures prices, volatilities, and correlations go up with financialization, but more so for index futures than for nonindex futures. T…